Thursday, March 29, 2012

The Jewish Vote shifts power balance to Brooklyn Republicans

(posted as an Op-Ed on GestetnerUpdates). The close race in Brooklyn's 27th State Senate district between Democrat Lew Fidler and Republican David Storobin still remains too close to call, with Storobin ahead with 37 votes. As absentee ballots are being counted and possible court challenges might delay the process, the winner has not been officially declared yet, yet the Republicans in the senate are confident that Storobin will at the end pull an upset and be sworn in as State Senator.

Regardless of the final outcome, the obvious conclusion adopted by the pundits and local party officials is, that the Brooklyn Republican party has made some significant inroads in Southern Brookyn. Largely, due to the heavy Orthodox Jewish and Russian communities, that despite being registered as Democrats cast their ballot for the Republican candidate. 

The political shakeup in Brooklyn by Congressman Turner and David Storobin is likely to change Brooklyn politics and shift power over to the Kings County Republicans. Selecting candidates that represent the Jewish community, run competitive races in districts with a heavy Jewish population, at the cost of incumbent Democrats and Jewish Democratic power brokers.

The Question that remains open is with regard to the super Jewish district, which is in talks with Senate Leaders and local officials. The candidate to be agreed upon remains wide open depending on the winner of the SD27 special election. If David Storobin wins and moves in to Boro Park, then it’s likely that he will be picked as the candidate in an open race, and may as well run on the Democratic line. 

Other names floating around as possible candidates if Fidler pulls an upset and wins in the final count, are Simcha Felder and Noach Dear that would rather run as an Orthodox conservative on the Democratic line, but might as well face a primary challenge by the Republican nominee that may choose to seek the Democratic nomination. Based on the fact that most registered democrats in Boro Park and Midwood are conservative oriented, and that a low turnout primary is basically as the general election turnout. 

The Bottom line is, that regardless of the issues brought up and the record presentation, the Jewish vote may yet again play a big factor in the upcoming election year. And may place the Democratic Party in Brooklyn and in upstate in a tough spot, of taking a chance losing a party picked candidate or an incumbent seat, or run candidates that represent the dramatic change of the dynamics in the district.

Follow me on Twitter: @jacobkornbluh

1 comment:

travis said...

It can't be avoided given the politics in the region. It has become the talk in west village condos as well.